Trump Hit With Devastating Poll as Republicans Lose Faith

This ‘centrist’ party is rising in NZ polls. Will it prove power broker?

Analysis - TOP's positive polling is fuelling media speculation about its electoral prospects. Can it finally get over the line? And what might happen if it does?

Will The USA Split in Two Thanks to the LEFT?

COMMENT: I felt compelled to reach out. I attended your 2021 conference, and I remember clearly that you spoke about the United States heading toward political fragmentation—and that the real risk of a complete split would emerge after 2028. Over the years, I’ve come to deeply respect how far in advance your forecasts prove accurate. []

Trump Hit With Ominous Midterm Warnings in Deep Red Areas

Evelyn Hockstein/ReutersA set of polls shows Democratic candidates making dramatic gains in parts of the U.S. that previously helped elect President Donald Trump by double digits. The internal polling is a warning sign for the president, 80, and Republicans, who are furiously scrambling to hold onto the House majority, where they already have a razor-thin margin. Even if Democrats are unsuccessful in flipping districts in Trump country, their ability to largely close the gap in deep red parts of the U.S. offers a surge of hope to Democrats praying for a blue wave come November.Read more at The Daily Beast.

Cook Political Report Shifts 4 Gubernatorial Races Toward Democrats

These are not the only races the election forecaster has moved lately.

Cook Political Report moving 4 of 5 gubernatorial races toward Democrats

The nonpartisan Cook Political Report on Friday shifted its ratings in five gubernatorial races, moving all but one race in favor of Democrats, as the left gains momentum in several key states ahead of November. Jessica Taylor, the Senate and governors' editor for the report, wrote that Democrats are finding themselves uniquely competitive in several...