Prediction Markets Make Betting Feel Like Finance. It’s Not.

Side-eyeing the ’90s summer trend

Wistful overtures to an easier decade are willfully ignoring financial realities

Why economic forecasts keep getting it wrong

Why economic forecasts keep getting it wrong

Prediction Markets Have a Precision Problem — Here’s a Fix

Prediction markets are having a moment. Billions of dollars now flow through platforms like Polymarket every year, and “the market says”Continue reading on Medium »

Odd Lots: The Sharps Who Dominate Prediction Markets (Podcast)

Here’s a couple things about prediction markets. A lot of it is pure gambling and speculation, much of it on things with very little economic relevance. Another fact is that in all likelihood, if you yourself started trading right now, you’d probably lose your shirt. But there is money being made by some dedicated traders, really focused on areas like politics and economics. On this episode, we speak with Brian Golden and Daniel Reichman, who are part of a private Discord called MAGA Kiwi Club,

Weekly Market Pulse: It's An AI Stock World

Weekly Market Pulse: It's An AI Stock World

What to Expect in Markets This Week: A Post-Fed Inflation Reading and Earnings From a Hot Memory Maker

What to Expect in Markets This Week: A Post-Fed Inflation Reading and Earnings From a Hot Memory Maker

Big Bets Report: Prediction Markets Ramp Up World Cup Wagering

Prediction markets have changed the way bettors are attacking the World Cup. Patrick Everson reports on some wild wagers.

Top Three Videos – June 21, 2026

Michael Green: The Bond Market Is Hiding A Banking Crisis...Mark Moss: 25-Year Trick That Fixed Every Crash Just Expired (Next Crash Is Here)...Lena Petrova: Japan JUST TRIGGERED a Global Financial TIME BOMB...

Steve Eisman Warns American Middle Class Is Cracking As Gas Prices Swallow Tax Refunds, Hitting (NYSE: WMT), (NASDAQ: AMZN), (NYSE: COST), (NYSE: HD)

Steve Eisman, the investor who famously shorted subprime mortgages ahead of the 2008 financial crisis, says the American middle class is showing clear signs of economic stress. Eisman made the remarks on his Real Eisman Playbook podcast alongside three Evercore consumer analysts, who painted a detailed picture of a shifting consumer landscape. The traditional K-shaped [] The post Steve Eisman Warns American Middle Class Is Cracking As Gas Prices Swallow Tax Refunds, Hitting (NYSE: WMT), (NASDAQ: AMZN), (NYSE: COST), (NYSE: HD) appeared first on Foreign Policy Journal.

Economists thought prediction markets would be a panacea. But shysters will corrupt and rig anything they can bet on, and the obvious ensued [Followup]

[link] [24 comments]

Experts argue American economy is now defined by Trump’s temperament

A new analysis found finance professionals declared the stock market is being increasingly driven by President Donald Trump’s temperament rather than rational capital allocation. Politico’s analysis reported investors abandoned traditional earnings and cash flow analysis, instead obsessively speculating about which companies will gain or lose Trump’s favor. Firms are systematically forecasting which industries will benefit []

Forget AI Bubble Fears. The Stock Market Keeps Getting Cheaper

Valuations keep falling for stocks.

Time to Sell *These* Stocks

This post Time to Sell *These* Stocks appeared first on Daily Reckoning. Badiali says real inflation means it’s time to get out of certain stocks... The post Time to Sell *These* Stocks appeared first on Daily Reckoning.

Why is Brooks Macdonald stock rallying today?

Why is Brooks Macdonald stock rallying today?

What Is a Bond Yield Curve and Why Inversions Scare Markets

ArticleIFY What Is a Bond Yield Curve and Why Inversions Scare Markets Turn on the financial news during a market meltdown, and you will immediately see a sea of red tickers. Pundits start talking over each other, desperately trying to assign blame. Eventually, amidst the shouting about tech stocks, real estate, or inflation, someone inevitably brings up the bond market. If you do not trade on Wall [] What Is a Bond Yield Curve and Why Inversions Scare Markets Articleify Desk

Rates Spark: Lower despite the ECB’s hawkish holdouts

Rates markets remain in bullish mode, given a benign energy price backdrop, tech stock narratives to worry about, and even data with a whiff of macro weakness

Prediction: Buying Rivian Stock Today Could Set You Up for Life

Rivian is copying Tesla's playbook for growth.

Creating a Plan for Future Financial Growth

Many people dream of financial freedom but feel completely stuck when trying to start. It takes clear steps to turn those distant dreams into real dollar amounts in your bank account. You can take control of your cash flow with the right approach and mindset. Building a solid map for your money helps you handle [] The post Creating a Plan for Future Financial Growth appeared first on BNO News.

Think you can win on prediction markets? Here's why you're more likely to lose

Think you can win on prediction markets? Here's why you're more likely to lose

George Goodman’s investing wisdom: Why sometimes the best move is to do nothing

George Goodman's classic book highlights investor psychology over pure logic. He stressed knowing oneself and avoiding crowd mentality for better decisions. Patience and thoughtful inaction often prove more profitable than impulsive trading. Greed and fear drive market cycles, leading many to buy high and sell low. Goodman's insights remain relevant for navigating today's volatile financial markets.

Barceló Has the Cash to Buy Hotels, But Says They’re Too Expensive

Record profits don’t necessarily mean it’s time to buy. Barceló has the cash to acquire hotels but says today’s prices no longer justify the returns it expects.

Sean Peche: What great investors know about forecasting the future

Sean Peche: What great investors know about forecasting the future

Nifty Prediction Today – July 2, 2026: Nifty futures: Loses initial gain, traders should stay cautious

A fresh rally past 24,200 can take Nifty futures to 24,350

Market Talk: 'Don't be underweight' AI trade

Franklin Templeton’s Michael Browne said earnings like Micron’s validate the market’s enthusiasm, adding that even a 10% pullback would be a buying opportunity because ‘this is something unique.' #News #Reuters #Newsfeed #markets #business #artificialintelligence 👉 Subscribe: https://reut.rs/4b8fRGn Keep up with the latest news from around the world: https://www.reuters.com/ Follow Reuters on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Reuters Follow Reuters on X: https://twitter.com/Reuters Follow Reuters on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/reuters/?hl=en

BOOLDO puts betting offers ahead of match predictions 

Betting predictions are everywhere. Every day, bettors are told who will win, who will score, and which odds are supposedly “too good to miss.” The language is confident, the graphics are persuasive, and the message is always the same: someone has uncovered the perfect betting opportunity. Sometimes they’re right. Often they’re not. Before placing a [] BOOLDO puts betting offers ahead of match predictions

Business wisdom of the day: 'In the moment of crisis, the wise...'

In today’s volatile market, a company's default instinct during a downturn is often to build a dam — cut all non-essential spending, hoard cash, and freeze external partnerships.

The mirage of the trillionaire: Elon Musk and the power of expectation

Financial markets often price the future long before it arrives. Understanding the difference between market value and economic reality has rarely been more important.