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Politics
Brexit Effect: Summary and conclusions
April 28, 2026
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Posted 3 hours ago by
Introduction This is the final article in a series analysing the oft-cited NBER paper, which estimates that Brexit reduced the UK’s GDP by 6-8, usually shortened to 8. The first three threads (here, here and here) argued that, contrary to the study, there is no persuasive evidence of a significant impact, either positive or negative, on GDP, employment or labour productivity.
The study’s results were unrealistic mainly because its: There was evidence of a significant negative effect on business investment,... Read More Read More
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