Bitcoin Bull Run ‘Not There Yet,’ Warns CryptoQuant Founder

Related Reading: XRP Declines 8, But Whales Scoop Up 71 Million Tokens More specifically, the index makes use of ten metrics. Some of the popular ones part of it include the MVRV Z-Score, Trader Realized Price, and Stablecoin Liquidity. The Bull Score Index calculates its value in a simple manner: it counts up the number of metrics flashing a bullish signal for the cryptocurrency and multiplies the total by 10. When the indicator has a value greater than 60, it means more than six metrics are pointing to positive market conditions. Such a trend implies BTC may be in a bullish market phase. On the other hand, the index being lower than 40 suggests the majority of the indicators are bearish toward the asset. Now, here is the chart shared by Young Ju that shows how the trend in the Bitcoin Bull Score Index has fluctuated over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Bull Score Index spent its days inside the red territory during Q4 2025 and Q1 2026. This means that the market was in a bearish phase from the perspective of this index. Recently, however, the recovery surge has meant that the indicator has experienced some days inside the neutral zone, corresponding to values between 40 and 60. The shift in the metric’s trend, though, may not correspond to the return of a bullish wave yet. “Once the real Bitcoin bull run begins, all signals will be very clear,” noted the analyst. “We are not there yet.” It now remains to be seen how long it will be before the Bull Score Index turns green for the cryptocurrency. In some other news, the Bitcoin supply held by the long-term holders (LTHs) has broken out of a downtrend recently, as analyst James Van Straten has highlighted in an X post. The LTHs refer to the BTC investors holding for more than 155 days ago. This cohort is considered to correspond to the diamond hands of the market. Related Reading: Bitcoin 78,000 Rebound Fizzles As Coinbase Premium Stays Red As the chart below shows, the total holdings of these investors have shot up recently. The latest surge in the Bitcoin LTH supply could mark the end of a 2.5-year long consolidation phase for the metric. “This cohort controls the market and this is why the four year cycle is over,” said the analyst. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around 77,300, down more than 4 in the past week. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com