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Betting On the Midterms

May 1, 2026
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Posted 3 hours ago by

Prediction markets are obviously not infallible, but they are worth paying attention to, if only because they are an environment in which people are investing their own money, not merely spinning as is usual in the press. So these data, via Stephen Moore’s daily Unleash Prosperity Hotline should be concerning for Republicans: According to an update by political [Republican] analyst Bruce Mehlman: Six months ago prediction markets gave Democrats a

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